Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 2) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 09th July 2025

2
19:10
(local)

MAGNOLIA HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1650m TURF GOOD
2
19:10
(local)
HKD $875,000
1650m GOOD

MAGNOLIA HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#3 Courier Magic is one from two in Class 5 and has been racing consistently since joining the Manfred Man yard, not beaten far in stronger Class 4 races. Back in grade, he finds the right set-up to return to winning form. #4 Windicator Family has turned a corner since the visor went on and a drop in the ratings. He broke through four starts ago and hasn’t missed the placings in three runs since. #6 Shinkansen went too hard in front in his Class 5 debut and faded late, but wasn’t beaten far. A better-timed ride could see him in the finish. #12 Beau Gosse is hard to back with confidence but has placed in his last two and, with no weight on his back, could sneak into the minors again.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs).
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.