Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 9) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 09th July 2025

9
22:50
(local)

COTTON TREE HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.83 Beauty Destiny 19 Mar 2025 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF GOOD
9
22:50
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m GOOD

COTTON TREE HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.83 Beauty Destiny 19 Mar 2025 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#9 Very Grateful has shaped nicely in both local starts, finishing within two lengths each time, and looks primed to peak third-up with blinkers applied—the same gear he wore when winning in New Zealand. #10 Everstar maps for a soft run from barrier 1 and can atone for last start when held up at a crucial stage. #2 Power Koepp has thrived since the stable switch to Mark Newnham, notching two wins and three seconds from five runs, and from another good draw, remains a leading player. #1 Wings Of War made late inroads first-up and with that run under his belt, can take another step.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs).
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.