Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 7) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 16th July 2025

7
21:35
(local)

SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,050,000
1650m TURF
7
21:35
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1650m

SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#3 Rocket Spade comes into a much better draw in barrier 4 after jumping from gate 11 in his last three starts, where he still managed to close off well. With a softer run, his winning chances receive a boost. #1 Definitive produced a sharp win last start after a change of tactics and remains a threat if he can reproduce that form. #6 Highland Rahy is a genuine pace influence who will roll forward and give a sight, though coming up with barrier 12 doesn’t do him any favours. #8 Prestige Good was a stylish Class 4 winner two starts back before being caught wide throughout back up in class. He’s much better than that run suggests and can bounce back.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs).
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.